Magazine · Tag
#Models
- Power Law · · 12 min readBitcoin vs. Gold: A Historical Model ComparisonBitcoin vs. gold as a model: how gold rose and fell after 1971, how bitcoin's cycles run and what the gold price target of $1.39 million means.
- Power Law · · 14 min readBitcoin Price Models Compared: Power Law, S2F, Rainbow and MoreBitcoin price models compared: Power Law, stock-to-flow, Rainbow Chart, MVRV, Pi Cycle and more. What each measures, what it's worth, what failed.
- Power Law · · 13 min readHow to Read the Bitcoin Log Chart: The Logarithmic Scale ExplainedHow to read the bitcoin log chart: what the logarithmic scale shows, where it misleads and how to read trend, floor and zones. With real data.
- Power Law · · 11 min readThe Bitcoin Rainbow Chart ExplainedBitcoin Rainbow Chart explained: how its colour bands are drawn, where it comes from, why it was redrawn in 2022 and what the Power Law does differently.
- Power Law · · 12 min readMetcalfe's Law and Bitcoin: Network Effect and ValuationMetcalfe's law explained simply: why a network grows with the square of its users, what that means for Bitcoin and where the idea reaches its limits.
- Power Law · · 16 min readCriticism of the Bitcoin Power Law: The Model's WeaknessesBitcoin Power Law criticism checked against the data: seven weaknesses of the model, what holds up in each, and how to plan with it anyway. Do the maths.
- Power Law · · 13 min readSensitivity analysis: how stable are the Power Law parameters?How much do the Bitcoin Power Law's slope and intercept change with the data's end, start date and weighting? Recalculated up to 2026.
- Power Law · · 14 min readPower Law vs. Stock-to-Flow: Which Bitcoin Model Holds Up?Power Law vs. stock-to-flow, data-checked: how both models calculate, what they have predicted since 2019 and which one you can trust today.
- Power Law · · 13 min readStock-to-Flow: Strengths and Limits of the ModelStock-to-flow explained: how the model turns stock and new issuance into a bitcoin price, what it got right in 2021 and why it has been far off since.