Magazine · Tag
#Forecast
- Power Law · · 14 min readBitcoin Price Models Compared: Power Law, S2F, Rainbow and MoreBitcoin price models compared: Power Law, stock-to-flow, Rainbow Chart, MVRV, Pi Cycle and more. What each measures, what it's worth, what failed.
- Power Law · · 14 min readBitcoin Price Prediction 2030, 2035, 2040 by the Power LawBitcoin price prediction for 2030, 2035 and 2040 by the Power Law: floor, trend and top band in USD, EUR and CHF, with an example and the model's limits.
- Power Law · · 16 min readCriticism of the Bitcoin Power Law: The Model's WeaknessesBitcoin Power Law criticism checked against the data: seven weaknesses of the model, what holds up in each, and how to plan with it anyway. Do the maths.
- Power Law · · 13 min readSensitivity analysis: how stable are the Power Law parameters?How much do the Bitcoin Power Law's slope and intercept change with the data's end, start date and weighting? Recalculated up to 2026.
- Power Law · · 14 min readPower Law vs. Stock-to-Flow: Which Bitcoin Model Holds Up?Power Law vs. stock-to-flow, data-checked: how both models calculate, what they have predicted since 2019 and which one you can trust today.
- Power Law · · 13 min readStock-to-Flow: Strengths and Limits of the ModelStock-to-flow explained: how the model turns stock and new issuance into a bitcoin price, what it got right in 2021 and why it has been far off since.
- Power Law · · 18 min readThe Bitcoin Power Law Explained: The Model Behind the Long-Term TrendThe Bitcoin Power Law explained simply: how the model calculates trend, floor and zones, where Bitcoin stands today and what it cannot do.